Election Weekend Wrap Up: 9/3/2016
9/3/2016 by Dylan James Harper
We’re just about three months away from the presidential election. Time sure does fly when you’re watching the slow unraveling of the political structure in the West as it’s existed since Nixon and Kennedy debated on live television. We’ll produce a weekly update on the election from now until election day that’ll include polls, any top stories, and of course our own brief takes. In any other election one might wonder how there would be enough new material every week to write about, but not this election.
As of right now Clinton is winning, and by how much depends on who you ask. For the purposes of this update, we’ll always take the most conservative poll (no pun intended). We’ll also look at some of the key states that will swing the election. For a thorough catalog of poll results, Real Clear Politics offers a
wide variety of polls from a wide variety of sources.
General: Clinton 41, Trump 39 (Fox News)
Wisconsin: Clinton 41, Trump 38 (Marquette)
North Carolina: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (Emerson)
Pennsylvania: Clinton 48, Trump 40 (Monmouth)
Ohio: Clinton 43, Trump 43 (Emerson)
Michigan: Clinton 45, Trump 40 (Emerson)
Florida: Clinton 44, Trump 42 (Mason-Dixon)
Trump Visits Mexico (2) - Trump is desperately trying to appeal to Latinx voters, where he currently has an approval rating as low as eighteen percent (1). During the meeting with president Pena Nieto, who himself is incredibly unpopular, Trump reiterated his intent to build a wall and have Mexico pay for it, but still left the meeting on a more positive note than one might presume, though Nieto stated that he would not be paying for any wall.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz Wins Primary (4) - The embattled former DNC chair defeated Tim Canova, a candidate supporter by Bernie Sanders and Our Revolution, the non-profit created from the remnants of the Sanders’ campaign. Some of the same issues that plagued Sanders are likely to blame for Canova’s loss, including a refusal from Sanders to campaign for Canova, as well as a lack of initial understanding of campaign rules from Our Revolution, whose legal status as a 501(c)(4) prevented them from coordinating with the Canova campaign, which resulted in several key staffers leaving the organization (5).
The Supreme Court Prevents North Carolina Voter Restrictions (8) - North Carolina’s last attempt to maintain their voter restrictions, which a lower appeals court concluded targeted black voters “with almost surgical precision” (7), failed on Wednesday. The Supreme Court issued only a sentence in reply to North Carolina’s request for a stay of the appeals court ruling, with Justice Thomas being the lone member of the high court who supported the request. The two other conservatives justices, Roberts and Alito, joined by the swing justice Kennedy, all stated they would grant the stay, with the exception of the pre-registration provision. This is a huge victory for Clinton, who holds a narrow lead over Trump in the swing state and who leads heavily in the polls with the state’s black voters.
The last week has been one of the best for Trump since his primary victory mainly because it wasn’t a disaster. The candidate has seemed to soften his rhetoric a bit, even attempting to visit with the Mexican President to win over Latinx voters, only to quickly restate his desire for a wall, and that he wouldn’t support amnesty for undocumented individuals. Clinton gave a speech linking Trump to the alternative-right, a new conservative conglomerate of white nationalists and anti-feminists. Most white nationalists seemed pleased for the attention, which makes Clinton’s choice to address such an issue, which isn’t likely to resonate with most key voters, somewhat confusing. At this point in the election it’s hard to see a path to victory for Trump. The only key state he’s close in is Ohio, and even then, it would be difficult for Trump to win without winning Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin (difficult is a nice way of saying mathematically impossible). If this trend continues, more focus will likely have to be paid to the house and senate seats up for grabs, which recently began wrapping up their primaries. Regardless, check back here weekly for more election updates
Dylan James Harper is the Chief Political Editor at CSuiteMusic